THE PULSE ● WEEKLY REPORT

Rolex market: the index drifts to within a point of its lowest reading, then bounces on Saturday

Week of October 5 to October 10, 2026 (readings through Saturday) · The Pulse Rolex Index · thepulse.fun
The Pulse Index
97.14
−0.4% this week
Average watch
98.87
−0.4% this week
Typical sale price
$14,861
from $14,802
Sales pace
173/day
below 185 baseline

The week in one paragraph

The Pulse Index eased −0.4% to 97.14 over the six days, but the shape of the week mattered more than the net change. It opened at its weekly high of 97.82 on Monday, slid to a weekly low of 96.74 on Friday (Oct 9), just 0.3 points above the lowest reading since the index began, then recovered 0.4% on Saturday. The average watch told the same story, down −0.4% to 98.87, while the typical sale price held steady at $14,861. Breadth was mildly positive, 8 gainers against 6 decliners, led by the high-volume Datejust 41 Fluted and the Submariner No-Date. The gap between the best and worst performer was 31.4 points, though two of the extremes rest on thin samples; setting them aside, it is closer to 18 points.

Movers of the week

WatchWeekRead
GMT Batman, previous generation (116710BLNR)+14.6%Best performer on paper, but the whole gain came on Saturday from just 4 sales; the five days before it sat near $15.5k, so treat this move with real caution
Submariner No-Date (124060)+10.0%A solid gain on about 57 sales across the week, firming through Thursday, dipping Friday and ending at the week's high
Datejust 41 Fluted (126334)+8.6%The most-traded reference in the basket, with about 200 sales this week, so this is the most reliable read of the three
Submariner Hulk (116610LV)−5.2%The discontinued green icon eased on a mid-sized sample of about 46 sales
Explorer 36 (124270)−7.7%The cheapest reference in the basket slipped on a thin sample of about 20 sales, with two days too quiet to register a reading
Explorer II (226570)−16.8%Weakest on paper, but Sunday's starting point was an unusually high thin-sample print; most days this week sat between $11.4k and $12.2k, so the real slide is far smaller

Liquidity read

Confirmed sales averaged 173/day across the six days, below the 185 baseline but well above the quiet Sunday pace that came just before it. Friday (Oct 9) was the busiest session with 242 confirmed sales and $4.0M in dollar flow, and Monday (Oct 5) the quietest at 109 sales. Dollar flow averaged roughly $2.9M/day for a total of about $17.5M over the period. Spreads between Bob's Watches buy prices and Chrono24 asking prices ranged from 26% to 36%, inside the usual band, with no bracket violations on any tracked reference on any day. The widest reading came on Saturday and reflects a few thinly traded references rather than a broad shift.

Methodology notes: Prices are market values (asking prices adjusted by the observed ask to sold gap), computed from roughly 14,700 to 14,900 tracked listings with manipulation screens, evidence weighted updating, and mix shift controls. A sale counts only after it is verified missing across consecutive daily sweeps. This report covers readings from Monday through Saturday; weekly changes compare Saturday's reading with the prior Sunday's. Explorer 36, Explorer II and the previous-generation GMT Batman cleared thinner samples than the rest of the basket on some days, so their moves are directionally useful but carry a wider band than a high-volume reference like the Datejust or Submariner Date. Informational only, not investment advice. © The Pulse · thepulse.fun